The truth will not prevail, it is a shame to look for such a thing on any site. Russian resentment and Western arrogance will fight each other - and the new border will be where they are balanced.
We have been through six months of war; and for six months we have not been able to get out of the poisonous trap where none of the warring parties has an interest in peace. It is warm, the land is dry, last year's crop is in storage, there is no need to heat it, the tanks are running.
But you don't have to be a fortuneteller to assume that we won't be able to run like this for another six months. It will include an autumn and another winter.
During these six months, we lived on reserves.
Ukraine has lived off the little it has scraped together since its independence. Every last penny of Hungary's development resources has been included this year in order to maintain the utility reduction, even to this limited extent, and the Hungarians feel the same way about the impact of food inflation and the euro, which has suddenly become more expensive by 20 percent, on family budgets.
In Western Europe, even the largest gas companies insist on complying with gas contracts established on the basis of last year's prices, which are by no means cheap. The Baltics and Central Europe scattered their last weapons reserves in Ukraine. Arms manufacturing companies are running at full capacity. North Africa barely has food left over from last year. France's budget plunges into deflationary measures. The United States has reached the limit of its ability to make free money. That was.
How does Steinbeck write Erik in the fruit ?
"In the eyes of men there glows the downfall of all endeavors; and the growing anger glows in the eyes of the hungry. In the souls of men grow and grow heavy, and the fruits of anger await the harvest.”
A world in which only those who have some kind of interest in the war can have a say cannot last for another half year - they want to attack the unipolar world order, they want to keep a country delusional about Western integration out of NATO, they want to get back Russian territories, or they would be happy , if he didn't lose the millions of dollars he spent in Ukraine.
There are many people who have no interest whatsoever in the war.
The sandblasting phase lasted half a year, when their mouths - under ideal war conditions - could be shut up by the initial shock, and by all kinds of international legal, moral and fear-based considerations, with which those who continued the war achieved that they could continue the war without a popular uprising. to infinity.
Harvest comes in autumn. The moments of truth will come, when Europe will face its first realistic gas bills, when it will be necessary to decide between corporate and residential gas consumption, and even when it will start to get cold in Ukraine. And when the Russian logistics are attacked again by the swamp rasputnytica.
So far, this whole horror has hurt Ukraine the most,
and we, munching on thirty percent more expensive food on the upset currency market, vacationing on hard-earned foreign currency, whining and believing that it hurts us too.
It didn't hurt. Now it will really hurt us too, when the reserves run out, when the euro, the primary measure of value for all European countries, will be worthless, and when the gas bill will be a hyperspace jump away from our countries' possibilities.
No matter how anyone points out to anyone else that Orbán, Scholz, Macron raised the gas price, and that the euro is weakening because of the ECB and the forint because of the government - everyone with more than two brain cells will know that the problem it starts well above them.
In the next six months, the peace supporters will be asked to speak.
Only then will the pro-peace movement really explode - because in France, Italy, and the Netherlands you can earn less than 1,500 euros. Everything that seems like a moral issue above three thousand euros is given a survival refraction below the average wage.
Everyone for whom Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, and Joe Biden are unnecessarily wasting their life and money with their war that can be resolved at the negotiating table will need a personal survival strategy for the fall. And it will no longer be decided by who shoots the Zaporizhzhya power plant, who massacred in Bucha, or whether Russia was justifiably afraid of non-existent missiles. The exchange rate of moral arguments and desire-driven pressure expertise will fall in such a way that the Hungarian forint in March will look like Mike Tyson next to them, and the continent of four hundred and fifty million Cossacks will turn into Henry Kissinger's church at lightning speed.
We can assume that the first six months on the battlefield were the bloodiest. In the second six months, however, the bloodbath moves into the political space. And it won't hurt fewer people than it has so far.
After six months of consuming war news, waking up and going to bed with Telegram, hammering away at the keyboard with a tight throat, deciphering Ukrainian and Russian propaganda gibberish, I have no positive message about the war.
The truth will not prevail, it is a shame to look for such a thing on any site.
Russian resentment and Western arrogance will fight each other - and the new border will be where they are balanced. But none of the driving forces point in the right direction. We can only hope that with each day wasted on war, peace is closer than ever. Because the fruits of anger will ripen.
Featured image: Illustration / Pixabay
