The most important conclusion of the analysis made by Median in April is that Péter Magyar's formation is the strongest opposition party.
"Median was the first to estimate the support of the then-not-yet-formed party in mid-March. At that time, 13 percent of the two-thirds of respondents who knew him would most likely have voted for the newly prepared party of the political actor who unexpectedly exploded in February."
- says Endre Hann, managing director of Median, in his article published on HVG
At the end of April, however, 16 percent of the full voting age population and 24 percent of the sure voters who can vote say that they would vote for the Tisza Party in the European Parliament elections, which means that Péter Magyar's party is currently the strongest opposition group.
Median's survey was conducted on a nationally representative sample between April 26 and 29. Due to the newspaper's early closure on May 1, it had to be interrupted for 970 people.
The parties are collecting signatures at full steam
According to the survey
• Fidesz is among the sure voters who can choose 46,
• the Tisza Party 24,
• the Democratic Coalition 9,
• the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party 6,
• and Momentum stands at 5 percent.
• the Mi Hazánk Movement 6 percent in this round,
• the Mendiki Magyarországa Mozgalom reached 1 percent.
Source: Facebook
Tamás Menczer, Fidesz's communications director, announced last week that they were the first to submit the 20,000 signatures required for the European Parliament elections to the National Election Office (NVI). After Fidesz-KDNP, Mi Hazánk was the second - and the first among the opposition parties - to collect the recommendation necessary to run in the European Parliament elections. They can claim double the necessary 20,000, of which 30,000 have been handed over to the National Electoral Office.
The Democratic Coalition and the LMP have also indicated that they will collect the necessary signatures for the launch in time. They are continuing their signature collection campaign. On April 30, it was officially published on the NVI website that the EP lists of the Tisza Party and the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party were also registered.
The opposition switcher
Median's latest survey is out.
According to this, Fidesz-KDNP stands at 46 percent of those who can vote, which is not at all lower (rather higher) than in the months before Péter Magyar's appearance, and is only 3 percentage points short of the highest value of the past year (Politico, poll of polls)
- writes publicist Gábor Bencsik on his social media page.
In Hungarian, the Tisza party has so far not been able to attract a substantial amount of supporters from the governing parties.
The reorganization of the opposition, at least its extent, is a surprise. Péter Magyar orchestrated a veritable carnage among the opposition parties, and today even the DK, which stands at 9 percent, cannot be sure that it will cross the entrance threshold.
Except.
Péter Magyar actually has only one program point, one promise, with which he gathered this million-strong camp: the defeat of Fidesz. The question is, what will his voters say if it turns out that he can't do just that.
Index /Facebook
Featured image: Máté Kocsis / Facebook
