Fidesz's advantage in the entire population increased from 11 to 13 percent, based on the most likely list result, from 11 percentage points to 12 percentage points compared to October, according to the November research of the Nézőpont Intézet conducted in the week of the Péter Magyar audio recording scandal. If the parliamentary elections were this Sunday, Mi Hazánk and DK would almost certainly enter the parliament, but the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party and Momentum have no realistic chance of doing so.
Support for Fidesz-KDNP has increased, and the difference between the support of the government parties and the Tisza Party has increased, according to a public opinion poll sent to our newspaper by the Nézőpont Institute. the Péter Magyar audio recording scandal only shows a change within the margin of error in the party competition.
Based on the most probable list result, the advantage of the current ruling party is 12 percentage points (46 percent) over its biggest challenger, Tisza (34 percent).
The last week was about audio recordings containing the bizarre statements of the president of the Tisza Party in Hungarian public life. According to the Nézőpont Institute, the key question of the coming weeks is whether the unacceptable sentences will have an effect on the popularity of the Tisza Party or the activity of the Fidesz camp.
The Viewpoint research conducted in the first half of the previous week only shows a movement within the margin of error.
The expansion of the Fidesz camp (38 percent of the entire population sympathizes with the ruling party) and the slight decrease in activity of the Tisza camp (the number of sympathizers remains unchanged at 25 percent, but the party's most likely list result has decreased from 35 to 34 percent) cannot therefore be considered a reversal of the trend, he pointed out. the institute.
Nevertheless, Fidesz's advantage in the entire population increased from 11 to 13 percent, from 11 to 12 percentage points compared to October based on the most likely list result.
The Nézőpont Intézet reminded us that their polls have so far shown Tisza Party's result to be better than the EP result in June, but far from Fidesz's. Now this difference, if not significantly, has continued to grow.
Based on the above data, it can be said that Fidesz has around 2.9 million, while Tisza has slightly more than 1.9 million admitted sympathizers in the entire adult population
- they summarized, and then added: counting on a participation of over 70 percent corresponding to the last elections and also taking into account the hidden sympathizers
this corresponds to 2.5 million active Fidesz voters and almost 1.9 million active Tisza voters.
According to the Nézőpont Institute, if the parliamentary elections were this Sunday, Mi Hazánk (most likely list result 8 percent) and DK (most likely list result 5 percent) would almost certainly enter the next parliament.
The Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party and Momentum, on the other hand, have no realistic chance of doing so. The party's presence in the parliament is not important to the former's voting base, it is likely that a part of them will vote for the potential anti-government party or its candidates in a tense situation, as happened during the EP elections.
Source: Hungarian Nation
Photo: Máté Kocsis Facebook
