Median's executive spoke on Klubrádio that their latest results showing the Tisza Party's advantage are deceptive because they refer to a smaller sample, so the margin of error is larger, and he made it clear that government party voters did not "flow over" to the Tisza.
He also revealed that the researches that envisioned the advance of Péter Magyar in recent weeks are capable of influencing public opinion.
Endre Hann called his own survey results misleading Klubrádió's Thursday morning show. The managing director of Median was asked about the company's recent public opinion survey, according to which the Tisza Party leads Fidesz by 11 percent. Endre Hann first spoke about the fact that it was not Péter Magyar who got stronger, but Fidesz who got weaker, but the government voters did not "flow over" to Tisza,
they were just confused. The leader of Median then specifically zeroed in on the credibility of their own survey when he explained that the apparent weakening of Fidesz in the past decade and a half always showed itself in the fact that they had slightly fewer sure voters.
He then continued:
Even now, there are fewer, which is why there is such a big difference among sure voters who can choose. Isn't that what the news highlights, this 11 percent difference, which is a bit misleading because it applies to a smaller sample, so the margin of error is larger.
In essence, Endre Hann also admitted that research can manipulate public opinion and voters' party preferences.
According to the reasoning of the managing director of Median, while the research companies measured the superiority of the governing parties month after month, it was boring, no one paid attention to them, and then when the first survey was published, in which the Tisza Party caught up with or even beat Fidesz by a hair's breadth, it became an important topic from then on. that there is a new challenger to those in power.
Hann said that public opinion polls have an influencing effect because they draw attention to a change. He mentioned the term "bandwagon effect", which means that, as a result of such surveys, people prefer to "get on the train" which, according to the majority, is going in the right direction, that is, they join a trend, in our case, the strengthening of the Tisza Party.
With the above thought process, Endre Hann practically confirmed our previous information that a manipulation round table was created, that is, the left-wing polling companies influence public opinion in an organized and coordinated manner. In essence, it is due to this scheduled interplay based on the political agenda that the institutions in question - in addition to Median, the 21 Research Center, Publicus, Idea, Republikon and Závecz - suddenly showed the Tisza Party's leadership in the past in two months.
In contrast to them, other pollsters, such as the Nézőpont Intézet and Századvég, measured completely different results. The former publicized its latest research in mid-November, according to which, based on the most likely list result, Fidesz's advantage over the Tisza Party increased from 11 percentage points to 12 percentage points compared to October.
Comparing this result with Median's current survey, there is a 23 percent difference between the party preference research of the two companies, which is far above the margin of error, so both cannot be true at the same time.
Based on the explanation of Endre Hann quoted above, which is about the fraudulent Median survey, and taking into account that the researches envisioning the superior leadership of the Tisza Party are admittedly aimed at influencing public opinion, it can be stated that the real situation is not shown by the results of the left-wing companies.
Featured image source: Origo
