Ukraine may once again become a paradise for arms dealers, but flooding the country with weapons after the current war could have other serious consequences if the modern weapons of destruction donated to the Ukrainians fall into the wrong hands. However, there is a chance for this - the Modern War Institute (MWI) points out in its analysis - it can be read on the hirado.hu portal.

According to an article published on the website of the institute operating at West Point, the US Army's military academy, the international community must expect the global rise of terrorism if the appropriate steps are not taken before the end of the war.

The world has to reckon with a nightmare scenario of the rise of terrorism if the weapons flooding Ukraine from the West fall into unauthorized hands, reads the analysis published on the website of the Modern War Institute .

According to the authors of the article, Lt. Col. Doug Livermore, the deputy commander of the US National Guard's special operations unit, and Erin K. McFee, a researcher at the Irregular Warfare Initiative, a researcher at the University of Chicago, although they have proven to be very effective in the defense of Ukraine, if they fall into the wrong hands, such portable weapons pose a serious threat. air defense devices (MANPADS) such as the Stinger and Starstreak missile systems.

The MANPADS, which are thinning the Russian military aircraft and helicopter fleet, can also be deployed against civilian passenger aircraft, and the American Javelin and British NLAW guided anti-tank missiles are capable of destroying even the most advanced tanks. About thirty thousand of the latter are said to be at the disposal of the Ukrainian forces.

The authors draw attention to the fact that before the secret intervention of the Americans in the Soviet-Afghan war, the Soviets crushed the Mujahideen with complete air superiority, but the deployment of the Stingers changed the balance of power. However, since the CIA recognized in time the threat posed by radical Islamists, such as the later al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, even before the Soviet withdrawal in 1989, serious efforts were made to recover unused Stingers. According to the thesis, this is largely due to the fact that al-Qaeda, deprived of MANPADS in the 1990s, ultimately did not base its terrorist strategy on missile attacks against passenger planes. The military experts who wrote the article believe that this disarmament tactic is also necessary in Ukraine in order to prevent the misuse of modern weapons.

Ukrainian missile

Source: MTI/EPA

As the authors recall, the collapse of the Soviet Union initiated an unprecedented period of arms trade: Tons of reliable and relatively cheap Soviet weapons flowed from Ukraine and other member republics of the former Bolshevik empire to all parts of the world. And over the course of a decade, Ukraine has made impressive profits from the sale of its huge stockpiles of weapons.

the entire article hirado.hu .

Featured image: EPA/ROMAN PILIPEY