Political scientist Ervin Nagy emphasized to Magyar Hírlap, analyzing the long parliamentary session, that political stability in Hungary is especially appreciated in comparison with other European Union countries. He said: since the governing parties won a two-thirds victory again, many continuities could be observed in the course of legislation.

After the elections on April 3, a new time calculation began in the Parliament, said Ervin Nagy, the XXI. Analyst at the Century Institute. He added that despite the fact that a new parliament was formed after the elections, the session days before the voting were also an integral part of this year's spring cycle, and since the governing parties won a two-thirds victory again, many continuities could be observed in the course of legislation. This is essential from the point of view of the country's political stability, thus the predictability of economic and social measures, and will also be an important factor in the future in the crisis caused by the coronavirus epidemic and the war. In the current energy crisis and the defense against global problems, the political stability of each country has become a matter of life, which is ensured in Hungary with a two-thirds parliamentary majority.

It is clear that in those EU member states where unstable government coalitions were formed after the recent elections, such as in Germany, Slovakia, Bulgaria or Belgium, and now it seems that also in Italy, crisis management is not working smoothly. The coalition partners are busy with each other, their energy is tied up in the internal struggle, so they have neither the opportunity nor the strength to effectively manage the crisis, explained the political scientist.

He pointed out: in our country, parliamentary work was only suspended during the campaign period, despite all international left-wing attacks and fake news, democracy continued smoothly and pluralism was broadly preserved. Finally, in relation to continuity and stability, it should also be emphasized that the Parliament decided on the person of the President of the Republic before the elections, but Katalin Novák took office after the establishment of the new parliament, which also strengthened predictability.

The realization of the long-term social and national political goals that transcend cycles can continue with the two-thirds victory of the ruling party, the Fidesz-KDNP party alliance to maintain the work-based society, the policy of tax reduction, the protection of utility reduction, the unprecedented increase in financial and moral support for families, and the maintenance of the Child Protection Act , strengthening solidarity with Hungarians across the border, and finally able to continue its successful actions related to immigration.

In the event of a possible victory of the left, these measures would have been changed or abolished according to the campaign promises of Ferenc Gyurcsány and Péter Márki-Zay, warned Ervin Nagy. He noted: the same continuity applies to the "cultural expansion", which Viktor Orbán announced at the beginning of this year and whose aim is to protect the culture of Hungarian identity and to expand institutions and intellectual expansion.

In the new parliament, on the other hand, the balance of power between the opposition and thus the opposition's politicking has also changed. A record number of nine factions were formed in the Parliament, seven of which are opposition. The Hungarian parliamentary opposition has never been so fragmented, which is beneficial in the short term in terms of party financing (since more factions mean more budget support for the same rainbow coalition), in the long term it is a competitive disadvantage. Fragmentation is associated with a political crisis.

There is nothing to say, the left-wing representative groups are looking for their voice, but for now it is not clear whether they will play politics together or separately again in the future. For the time being, Ferenc Gyurcsány advocates for a coalition, while Jobbik, Párbeszéd and Momentum want to build alone, which causes further conflict between the parties. The fact is that the current fragmentation is unsustainable, the crisis of the left is also a structural crisis, since the domestic opposition voting base is not capable of maintaining so many and so many different parties, the analyst believes.

He considers the Mi Hazánk Movement to be an exception, because the national radical party led by László Toroczkai was already involved in the development of specific actions and ideas before the elections, so it was also able to formulate alternative proposals in the parliament. On the other hand, the parties of the rainbow coalition have scattered in all directions of the wind rose, and since they did not develop a clear program even before the elections, so far in the parliament they are only capable of ineffective protest politics and the continuation of endless ranting.

The constructive policy and clear message of the Mi Hazánk Movement is the reason why the Toroczkas were ahead of all the left-wing parties in the opinion polls just a month after the elections, emphasized Ervin Nagy. According to him, this is not a surprise, but a necessary process, I believe that the left-wing parties have fallen into an intellectual-ideological, organizational and leadership crisis. Only the Democratic Coalition remained stable, but for lack of anything to say, they are currently unable to strengthen either.

The full article of Magyar Hírlap can be read here.

Author: Zsolt Sütő-Nagy

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