In an election this Sunday, with the same support (52 percent), Fidesz would win even more than a year ago, as the combined opposition (30 percent) would perform even worse than last year's result, according to the survey of the Social Researcher. Last year's big winners were Kutyapár and Mi Hazánk.
According to the survey conducted between March 27 and 29, with a telephone survey of a thousand people, the governing parties can still have every second voter in their camp a year after the elections, and they would be able to repeat their victory in the 2022 parliamentary elections.
They added: support for the former coalition of left-wing opposition parties continued to dwindle. Before last year's parliamentary election, the Social Researcher predicted a 40 percent result for the left-wing joint list, but it was only able to get 36 percent of domestic voters in the election.
However, the forces belonging to the political alliance at that time have only 30 percent support in total.
"This means that the left-wing camp not only fragmented further due to the fact that Péter Márki-Zay's movement became an independent party or that the former president of Jobbik founded a new movement, but also shrank"
- they wrote, noting that they did not ask for the support of Péter Jakab's organization, as it is not considered a political party for the time being, so it cannot run for election.
The former parties of the disintegrated alliance show a mixed picture: the strongest among them is the Democratic Coalition, behind which 12 percent of the voters stand. Momentum, with 6 percent, follows DK with half as much support. They are followed by Jobbik, hovering around the entry threshold with its 4 percent support. The LMP (3 percent), the MSZP (2 percent), and Párbeszéd (1 percent) fall significantly short of the support that ensures parliamentary entry and faction formation. The People's Party of Everyone's Hungary, which has been tearing down the flag since the 2022 election, has so far been able to appeal to 2 percent of the electorate, they ranked.
They added: the voters who defected from the former left-wing alliance will presumably support other parties: the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party would well exceed last year's election result of 3.4 percent, and with its current support of 10 percent, it would clearly cross the parliamentary entry threshold.
Since the election, Mi Hazánk has further improved its election result of 6 percent: this Sunday, 8 percent of sure-voting party voters would vote for the radical right-wing party, the description states.
MTI
Opening image: Screenshot / Facebook / United for Hungary