The main reason for the ruling party's significant advantage is that its support is outstanding in Hungary outside of Budapest, according to a public opinion poll.
If the elections were this Sunday, Fidesz-KDNP would get 55 percent, the left joint list would get 44 percent, and the other party lists would get a total of only 1 percent - according to last week's measurement of the Real-PR 93 pollster, which is now starting to measure party preferences.
The analyst came to the conclusion that essentially a two-party system had emerged in Hungary by the fall of 2021.
The joint list of Fidesz and the left will fight only against each other in the next election, the votes expected for all other parties are negligible. Although there are sympathizers for Tibor Szanyi, the "two-tailed dogs" or Mi Hazánk, the citizens who promise their participation will ultimately only choose between the right and the left.
Among the entire adult population, the proportion of Fidesz supporters is 46 percent, while the proportion of those who sympathize with the opposition is 42 percent. 2 percent of voters would be willing to vote for other parties, and 10 percent could not or did not want to answer the party preference question. The re-election of the current ruling party seems certain already in this round, but the election will be decided only by those who participated with their valid votes. However, the activity of the Fidesz camp is greater:
55 percent of the voters who promised their participation would vote for Fidesz and 44 percent for the left.
This result already takes into account the candidacy of Péter Márki-Zay for Prime Minister, since the data collection was made after the second round of the left-wing primary election.
Source and image: mandiner.hu
