This afternoon, the deadline for entering the list of foreign representatives expired - so the war of numbers is finally over, and in the dispassionate, but all the more honest language of mathematics, we can get accurate information about the situation: how many people are impatiently waiting to distract the Orbán government from their exile in London. So that they can return home to the long-awaited better future. - read Francesca Rivafinoli's article published last night on the sándár.hu portal, which you can read below.
So, as a last resort for those who want to guess, here is a numerical example: It is known that 141,000 Hungarians of legal age applied for a permanent residence permit in the United Kingdom due to Brexit; they say that significantly more of our compatriots live there (according to the HVG, there are 200-220 thousand in London alone); we also heard that, based on research, four out of five Hungarians living abroad want a change of government, but to no avail. Based on the given data, calculate how many people were able to register for the British foreign missions!
Got the hint?
On the other hand, according to the latest data, the actual number of employees at the end of the year: 10,301 people.
It is particularly interesting that in 2018, 12,453 Hungarians appeared in the same lists; Specifically, in London four years ago, 9,707 people signed up, while this year only 7,542 signed up by the deadline. Let's hope that some of the London instants woke up at the last moment and registered, beautifying the result somewhat, otherwise we can witness a pretty serious mess.
organized Hungarian parties, stand-ups and alcoholic drinks in seven large Western European cities on the third of April, just in case people become more motivated to vote.
It's no joke: as the very first initiative of the international NGO newly registered under the name "Action for Democracy" with a post office address in Chicago, it was formed to influence the Hungarian, Brazilian and Polish elections (thus filling an immeasurable gap) in Manchester, London, Vienna, Munich, Berlin, Bern and The Hague by financing parties, he tries to ensure that mature Hungarian opposition figures exercise their right to vote.
Come and change the steering wheel, in return you can team Ricsárdgír for free! You can get a unicum if you vote! – is the main democrats' set of arguments.
Those who upload their e-mail address to their database will even be sent instructions on where to go to vote. Where is the idiot conservative bought with potatoes from this level, who considers voting his civic duty and is ready to travel up to 600 kilometers at his own expense for the sake of the cause, without any kind of Chicago syllabus, finding his way on his own!
Speaking of travel. The low number of people on the lists is also strange because the group called Diaspora Aid has already raised more than eight million forints to help Hungarians in England who want to vote, so that those who find it an unbearable burden to travel from the English countryside to London or Manchester once every four years can buy it from the common fund. your train ticket. So now, under the pretext of voting, even the most lazy could finally get to the banks of the Thames, for a little sightseeing - there are no crowds yet. If they paid for it, they wouldn't even vote, so to speak.
Of course, every self-righteous oppositionist can firmly point out that this means nothing, the other tens of thousands will surely go home to vote, two weeks before Easter.
The MZP also suggested that they apply cunningly to the vacillating districts. That is why they are not included in the external contact list. Because they arrive in packed rows with the planes. After all, it was announced separately by enthusiastic activists more than a month ago that dedicated oppositionists would travel home together on the afternoon flight of the hardcore low-cost company on March 31; even #vanmosek promoted it . "After arrival, there is time for media participation, our goal is to be included in the news channels of the day", wrote the organizers, so who could resist such a promising offer?
The problem is that, as of this morning, there is still a suspiciously large selection of low-cost tickets, i.e. seats, for the end of next week.
I have just managed to find a place for an imaginary group of 19 people on the concretely proposed flight to London on the 31st, but for the standard employee, the most ideal combination of "Friday evening return home + Sunday evening or Monday morning return" can be booked for around HUF 30,000; it also comes out of twenty-two with a frequent flyer discount. As a control group, I also checked the Easter flights two weeks later, they now cost more than twice as much.
Therefore, no matter how popular the wandering motif used by Klára Dobrev, Péter Jakab, and Péter Márki-Zay is, that Hungarians driven to the west are waiting for nothing more than the Gyurcsány-Fekete-Győr axis to liberate the country - based on the objective figures, perhaps we can agree that that in 2022 it is not (or even) important for the narrow ten percent of Hungarians in England to express an opinion about the Orbán governments at all, and even in an extreme case, at most this proportion would vote specifically for the opposition coalition.
All further explanations and dictation are just empty self-deception. Sorry.
2022 Plus:
The reassuring correct lines are welcome, but don't let that fool anyone. As the author of the above lines mentions, the opposition has already tried to use many tricks and will certainly use many more tricks in the coming two weeks. So you can't sit back, saying we'll win anyway, or organize programs so that you don't have time to vote on April 3.
If it breaks, if it breaks, we all have to leave!
Featured image: Unsplash
