The twilight of energetic michurinism is when it turns out that 15 billion is less than 150 billion, which is actually 170 billion.
If, in a weak moment, we were to ask the question, which is better: to buy a new car without airbags, or not to buy a car at all, but to freeze in the winter, then the answerer would easily fall into the barge of Putinist propaganda. Rather, we should rejoice that Europe's sharpest political skulls are slowly realizing that 150 billion cubic meters of Russian gas cannot be replaced with 15 billion cubic meters of American gas.
There are these so-called bad aging news. As, for example, when the independent and objective press, which is always reliable and works with multiple fact-checks, trumpets to the world that the Ukrainian defenders are not being beaten at Severodonetsk, but that they are luring the stupid, presumptuous Russians and their auxiliaries into a tricky, cunning trap .
If we are amazed by this, then let us take into account that for two weeks it was really possible to believe (trust) that the Ukrainians would win in Luhansk, the last city still in domestic hands. The muscle building, which later turned out to be a fairy tale, was fresh and edible for at least two weeks, just like the vacuum-foiled, government-priced chicken legs.
But there are good news and big announcements that are already ridiculous illusions at the moment when the editor clicks the publish button. Such as the wording below:
Haszon's article celebrates the extremely positive development, following Napi.hu, that for a whole week, more American natural gas arrived in the form of LNG on the old continent than via Russian pipelines. Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), called it a historical milestone, and he may be right, because Europe really beat Asia in the demand market, we pay much more than them, and they are somehow forced to make ends meet with Russian energy carriers, which cost a third as much. This is a great victory, almost as clever a move as, say, signing for Stadler FC in '98.
THE FALL OF ENERGY MISCURINISM
For some time now, Europe's energy policy has been based on scientific misogyny. When you just have to want things, and then they will surely be. If, following Soviet science, it was declared in a party decision that despite the provocations of the imperialists, it is possible to grow wheat beyond the Arctic Circle, then the wheat who thinks this is nonsense should come forward! He'll get you on your feet! He will go to the Gulag, and there he will be forced to get used to the land where there is no grain!
The EU's energy michyrinism was similarly based on exact facts and meticulous calculations: the 150 billion cubic meters of Russian natural gas coming in through pipelines and the 15-20 billion cubic meters of Russian LNG per year can easily be replaced by American imports, since they are able to bring in an additional 15 billion cubic meters into the European system.
Anyone who says the math doesn't work out is obviously an agent of Orbán, who is an agent of Putin, and his goal is to loosen the free people of Europe forged by the great Brussels, playing to the score of the enemy like a chained dog.
For weeks, articles with a similar tone in Haszon and other travel magazines have been radiating unbroken optimism in such a way that, compared to them, Comrade Gyatlov would be just as good as a second-class junkyard rumpus. the sobering slap arrives as scheduled : despite the fact that the USA has become Europe's largest supplier of natural gas, the LNG supply is completely uncertain. And even if it were not uncertain, the American capacity would not be sufficient; there is no moral physics that could be used to fill up the reservoirs to a safe level until winter arrives. And besides, it was only moral mathematics that made the Americans the winner last week, because out of some inexplicable slyness, they forgot to add the 15-20 billion cubic meters of Russian LNG per year to the same 60 percent lower Russian piped natural gas. There are times when people forget where they put their car keys, but 15-20 billion cubic meters of liquefied gas is quite a striking phenomenon, it's not like we find it after a long search under the People's Word thrown aside. But it took some time for the western skulls to find those big tankers in their ports.
PEOPLE, LET'S START PANICKING!
The freewheeling production reports that dominated last week have now been replaced by complete despair and bewilderment. As a result of the (self)sanctions, the industry's vegan latte still only arrives at a narrower intersection on the North Stream-1; without the turbine repaired in Canada and retained there, Germany will never reach the desired charge level. Sanctions cannot be withdrawn just by saying sorry, we were wrong, we didn't punish Russia, but ourselves. Perhaps in the event that Moscow not only withdraws from Ukraine, but also hands over Rostov and Voronezh to Kiev for 25 years, and Putin goes into voluntary exile in Siberia with Patriarch Kirill and two bad-tempered raccoons.
And the concerns are, to put it mildly, justified. In Norway, the oil industry workers are preparing to strike , which in itself would not affect gas extraction, but in Norway there is such a thing as a trade union. The oil and gas industry workers operate in a joint union, and if no agreement is reached between the employer and the employees, then the gas industry workers will also join the strike. Although the unions promised to try to prevent the reduction of Norway's natural gas exports, they added that they were only trying initially. The strike may turn out to be such that they no longer try. The British and Dutch gas exchanges immediately priced in the risk, and prices rose brutally again.
In order not to get bored, Shell also announced that maintenance work will be carried out at its liquefaction facility in Australia in the coming weeks, so don't expect shipments from there to Europe. There is a strange and inexplicable soulmate between the LNG terminals: the plant in Freeport, Texas is not working at the moment, which is uninteresting in peacetime, a small inconvenience, there are a couple of terminals on the east coast, but when we want to replace Russian gas, then a the loss of a plant can easily stop German industry.
Of course, there is no need to worry that the West European politicians with uncontrollable brains will not have some great idea for the problems listed above. Citizens will bathe even less and maybe put on a jacket over their sweater in the apartment. At the very least, we hope they continue to grope in this puritanical direction and not listen to Manfred Weber, who says that all countries should benefit from the common European gas resource according to their needs, to which everyone contributes according to their abilities.
Posterity will call this a reservoir sweep, and we, as modest contemporary from Hungary, will call it a smelly communist's oniony fantasy about our robbery.
Featured image: tradewindsnews.com