If the parliamentary elections were held on Sunday, Fidesz-KDNP would still clearly win the vote. The government parties would get the absolute majority of the votes (52 percent), the left would be second with a significant gap (43 percent), according to the latest survey by Nézőpont.
At the end of the spring session of the parliament, the left cannot be satisfied with its performance, as it was unable to make the electoral competition with Fidesz closer. Within the entire population and in the base of sure-voting party voters, there have been shifts within the margin of error only since April, the government party's advantage remains unchanged. Fidesz-KDNP leads 40-36 among the entire population, and 52-43 in the base of party voters who are closer to the election result and sure to vote, than the joint list of the left. The Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (3 percent) and the Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt may have hope, but for now they do not reach the 5 percent threshold necessary to enter parliament.
The stable leadership position of the governing parties can be explained by the satisfaction with the handling of the epidemic, which goes beyond the ruling party camp, the unity and ability of Fidesz to govern, which is opposed by the ideological division of the opposition parties, the primaries that brought internal conflicts to the surface, and the lack of a leader capable of governing.
Based on the data, it is clear: this Sunday, the Fidesz-KDNP joint list would once again win the parliamentary election and Viktor Orbán could form his fifth government.
The survey was published in Magyar Hírlap
Photo: Viewpoint Institute
