Two-thirds of active voters consider Viktor Orbán to be the most likely to become Hungary's prime minister after 2022. Among his possible challengers, Klára Dobrev and Péter Márki-Zay have approximately the same chances against the incumbent prime minister: 18 and 17 percent, respectively.
This shows that the voters have "priced in" the two candidates of the left: they have the same attitude towards Ferenc Gyurcsány's wife and Márki-Zay, according to the latest opinion poll of the Center for Fundamental Rights.
The vast majority of respondents who promised to participate in the elections expect the victory of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in next year's parliamentary elections.
According to the nationally representative research, two-thirds of active voters consider the current prime minister the most likely to form the new government, regardless of who will be the runner-up for prime minister in the second round of the left-wing primaries. Viktor Orbán has a much better chance than Klára Viktor Dobrev and Péter Márki-Zay in the eyes of the surveyed citizens who want to appear as voters in the next election: while 71 percent of the former and 66 percent of the latter said that the incumbent prime minister can remain in his current position after 2022.
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The research reveals that the citizens consider both candidates for prime minister in the left-wing primaries, which ensure the dominant opposition role of the Democratic Coalition, to be equally unlikely: Klára Dobrev 18 percent, Péter Márki-Zay 17 percent think they can win in 2022.
The fact that, in the case of both politicians, less than two out of ten Hungarians believe that one of them can become prime minister next spring, confirms the assumption that voters consider the process to be pre-planned.
The result was "priced in", and the two candidates are considered interchangeable: it doesn't matter which of them ends up in first place, the real winner would be Ferenc Gyurcsány.
Source: Magyar Hírlap
Image: Center for Fundamental Rights
